Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by... Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 94% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | +1438 | ▲ 2 |
| No | 94% | -1438 | ▼ 2 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Laurent Nuñez ceases to be Minister of the Interior of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Laurent Nuñez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Laurent Nuñez offering to resign where the offer is refused, or continuing to run the ministry in a caretaker capacity after a government resigns, will not resolve this market to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Laurent Nuñez and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by..."?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 94%, about -1438 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.