Nuevo León Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Adrián de la Garza Santos a 38% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrián de la Garza Santos | 38% | +167 | ▼ 0 |
| Mariana Rodríguez Cantú | 22% | +360 | ▲ 1 |
| Clara Luz Flores Carrales | 21% | +387 | ▼ 4 |
| Raúl Lozano Caballero | 7% | +1261 | — |
| Fernando Margáin Berlanga | 7% | +1427 | — |
| Judith Díaz Delgado | 7% | +1438 | — |
| Félix Arratia Cruz | 6% | +1487 | — |
| Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla | 5% | +1823 | — |
| Jesús Alberto Elizondo | 5% | +1962 | — |
| Carlos de la Fuente Flores | 5% | +2005 | — |
| Miguel Flores Serna | 4% | +2310 | — |
| Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas | 4% | +2464 | ▼ 1 |
| Waldo Fernández González | 4% | +2717 | — |
| Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez | 3% | +3179 | — |
| Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo | 3% | +3290 | ▼ 1 |
| Andrés Mijes Llovera | 3% | +3900 | ▼ 1 |
| Arturo Salinas Garza | 2% | +3982 | — |
| Martha Herrera González | 2% | +6352 | ▼ 0 |
| Héctor García García | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Daniel Carrillo Martínez | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Annia Gómez Cárdenas | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Nuevo León Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Adrián de la Garza Santos at 38%, about +167 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nuevo León Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.