Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give María Corina Machado a 69% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| María Corina Machado | 69% | -217 | — |
| Delcy Rodríguez | 18% | +471 | — |
| Jorge Rodríguez | 6% | +1581 | — |
| Manuel Rosales | 3% | +3348 | — |
| Donald Trump | 3% | +3471 | — |
| Marco Rubio | 2% | +3982 | — |
| Henrique Capriles | 1% | +7307 | — |
| Edmundo González | 1% | +8233 | — |
| Diosdado Cabello | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Nicolás Maduro | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election. If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price María Corina Machado at 69%, about -217 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2030 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.