Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat Odds
Polymarket traders give Glenn Jacobs a 47% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn Jacobs | 47% | +115 | ▲ 13 |
| Tim Burchett | 22% | +365 | ▼ 0 |
| Damon Hininger | 14% | +592 | ▲ 8 |
| Diana Harshbarger | 8% | +1150 | ▲ 1 |
| Bill Lee | 8% | +1233 | ▼ 5 |
| Pete Hegseth | 6% | +1567 | ▼ 0 |
| Stuart McWhorter | 5% | +1900 | ▼ 0 |
| Chuck Fleischmann | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Cameron Sexton | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 2 |
| Andy Ogles | 3% | +3604 | ▼ 2 |
| Scott DesJarlais | 3% | +3604 | — |
| John Rose | 3% | +3604 | — |
| Matt Van Epps | 3% | +3604 | — |
| David Kustoff | 3% | +3746 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Marsha Blackburn, to hold the United States Senate seat from Tennessee currently held by Marsha Blackburn (Class I). A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count. If no person other than Marsha Blackburn has held the seat by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the Government of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Glenn Jacobs at 47%, about +115 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Apr 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Senator in Blackburn's Tennessee seat?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.