Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands Odds
Polymarket traders give Mark Brown a 97% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Brown | 97% | -3674 | — |
| Tina Browne | 1% | +8596 | — |
| Teariki Heather | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Mark Brown at 97%, about -3674 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Aug 13, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.