Next President of the National Rally in 2026 Odds
This market has resolved: Jordan Bardella. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bardella ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 1 |
| Marine Le Pen | 0% | — | — |
| Louis Aliot | 0% | — | — |
| Sébastien Chenu | 0% | — | — |
| David Rachline | 0% | — | — |
| Hélène Laporte | 0% | — | — |
| Jean-Philippe Tanguy | 0% | — | — |
| Laurent Jacobelli | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 1 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 2 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 3 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 4 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 5 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 6 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 13 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 14 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 15 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 16 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 17 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 18 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 19 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 20 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 21 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 22 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 23 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 24 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 25 | 0% | — | — |
| Placeholder 26 | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
The National Rally’s 2026 Congress is scheduled for October 24–25, 2026 in Orléans, where the results of the election for party president are expected to be announced. This market will resolve to the individual who is officially announced as President of the National Rally following the National Rally’s 2026 Congress. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially elected, reelected, or otherwise announced by the National Rally as President of the National Rally following the 2026 Congress. If no such President of the National Rally is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Next President of the National Rally in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.