Next Premier of Victoria Odds
Polymarket traders give Jess Wilson a 94% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Wilson | 94% | -1567 | — |
| Ben Carroll | 3% | +2977 | ▲ 1 |
| Warren Pickering | 3% | +3179 | — |
| Gabrielle Williams | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Sonya Kilkenny | 2% | +6352 | ▼ 1 |
| Danny O'Brien | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Ellen Sandell | <1% | +16567 | — |
| David Southwick | <1% | +33233 | — |
| James Newbury | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Jacinta Allan | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Jaclyn Symes | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Steve Dimopoulos | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Brad Battin | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Sam Groth | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Emma Kealy | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Premier of Victoria?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Jess Wilson at 94%, about -1567 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 29, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Premier of Victoria?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.