Next Premier of New South Wales Odds
Polymarket traders give Chris Minns a 64% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Minns | 64% | -178 | ▲ 8 |
| Kellie Sloane | 26% | +292 | ▼ 0 |
| Rose Jackson | 8% | +1083 | ▼ 1 |
| Ryan Park | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Prue Car | 4% | +2640 | — |
| Gurmesh Singh | 3% | +3409 | — |
| Mark Speakman | 1% | +7900 | — |
| Daniel Mookhey | 1% | +8596 | — |
| Mike Newman | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Alister Henskens | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Penny Sharpe | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of New South Wales as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New South Wales; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Premier of New South Wales?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Chris Minns at 64%, about -178 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Mar 28, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Premier of New South Wales?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.