Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban) Odds
Polymarket traders give Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi a 57% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi | 57% | -131 | ▼ 9 |
| Haniff Hoosen | 33% | +203 | ▲ 12 |
| Mkhuleko Hlengwa | 5% | +1752 | ▲ 2 |
| Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi | 4% | +2464 | — |
| Cyril Xaba | 3% | +3900 | ▲ 1 |
| Zandile Gumede | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Zwakele Mncwango | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Nomusa Dube-Ncube | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Mina Soma-Lesoma | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Thabani Nyawose | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Maggie Govender | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Philani Mavundla | <1% | +199900 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. eThekwini’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of eThekwini following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the eThekwini Municipal Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi at 57%, about -131 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 5, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.