Next Governing Mayor of Berlin Odds · in 2026
Kalshi traders give Elif Eralp a 84% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elif Eralp | 84% | -525 | ▲ 7 |
| Stefan Evers | 14% | +614 | — |
| Werner Graf | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Kristin Brinker | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Steffen Krach | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Stefan Evers wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Elif Eralp at 84%, about -525 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.