New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Kathy Hochul (D) a 91% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 91% | -953 | ▼ 1 |
| Bruce Blakeman (R) | 4% | +2603 | ▼ 2 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Kathy Hochul (D) at 91%, about -953 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 3, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.