Nayarit Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez a 81% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez | 81% | -418 | ▼ 1 |
| Luis Zamora Carrillo | 8% | +1199 | ▼ 1 |
| Citlalli Rubí Huerta | 6% | +1581 | — |
| Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu | 6% | +1639 | — |
| Manuel Cota Jiménez | 5% | +1842 | — |
| Geraldine Ponce Méndez | 5% | +2005 | ▼ 1 |
| Pavel Jarero Velázquez | 4% | +2464 | — |
| Héctor Santana García | 3% | +3471 | ▼ 1 |
| Ivonne Sabrina Díaz | 1% | +8991 | — |
| Gloria Núñez Sánchez | <1% | +16567 | — |
| Julieta Mejía Ibáñez | <1% | +22122 | — |
| Gustavo Ayón Aguirre | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Jesús Armando Vélez Macías | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Ivideliza Reyes Hernández | <1% | +39900 | — |
| José Ramón Cambero Pérez | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Nadia Ramírez López | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez | <1% | +49900 | — |
| José Antonio Barajas López | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Paola Vargas Arciniega | <1% | +49900 | — |
| María Elizabeth López Blanco | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Ignacio Flores Medina | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Enrique Díaz López | <1% | +199900 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Nayarit Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez at 81%, about -418 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Nayarit Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.