Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by... Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 92% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | +1150 | ▲ 1 |
| No | 92% | -1150 | ▼ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by..."?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 92%, about -1150 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.