Louisiana: Which House races will be won outright Odds · Nov 3, 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA-01 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| LA-02 ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| LA-03 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| LA-04 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| LA-05 | 3% | +3233 | — |
| LA-06 | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Resolution rules
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Louisiana 1st Congressional District open primary, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Louisiana: Which House races will be won outright?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.