Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner Odds
This market has resolved: Other. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Other ✓ | 100% | — | — |
| Lebanese Forces (LF) | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| Hezbollah (Hezb) | 0% | — | — |
| Amal Movement (Amal) | 0% | — | ▼ 2 |
| Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) | 0% | — | — |
| Progressive Socialist Party (PSP) | 0% | — | — |
| Kataeb Party (Kataeb) | 0% | — | — |
| Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF) | 0% | — | — |
| Marada Movement (MM) | 0% | — | — |
| Independence Movement (IM) | 0% | — | — |
| Taqaddom Party | 0% | — | — |
| Islamic Charitable Projects Association (ICPA) | 0% | — | — |
| Islamic Group (IG) | 0% | — | — |
| Union Party (UP) | 0% | — | — |
| Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon (Ba'ath) | 0% | — | — |
| National Liberal Party (NLP) | 0% | — | — |
| Lana – Social Democratic Party (Lana) | 0% | — | — |
| Mada Party (Mada) | 0% | — | — |
| Khatt Ahmar | 0% | — | — |
| Popular Nasserist Organization (PNO) | 0% | — | — |
| National Dialogue Party (NDP) | 0% | — | — |
| Dignity Movement (DM) | 0% | — | — |
| Watani Alliance (Watani) | 0% | — | — |
| ReLebanon | 0% | — | — |
| Party A | 0% | — | — |
| Party B | 0% | — | — |
| Party C | 0% | — | — |
| Party D | 0% | — | — |
| Party E | 0% | — | — |
| Party F | 0% | — | — |
| Party G | 0% | — | — |
| Party H | 0% | — | — |
| Party I | 0% | — | — |
| Party J | 0% | — | — |
| Party K | 0% | — | — |
| Party L | 0% | — | — |
| Party M | 0% | — | — |
| Party N | 0% | — | — |
| Party O | 0% | — | — |
| Party P | 0% | — | — |
Showing the top 40 of 44 outcomes.
Price history
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists May 11, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.