Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
Kalshi traders give North Carolina Senate a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Senate | 96% | -2400 | — |
| Georgia Senate | 4% | +2400 | — |
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Price history
On Polymarket
A similar market trades on Polymarket. Check the resolution rules before comparing prices: small wording differences change what pays out.
Resolution rules
If Georgia Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Georgia US Senate and North Carolina US Senate, including any December 1, 2026 Georgia runoff, as of Dec 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price North Carolina Senate at 96%, about -2400 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.