Larger margin: Graham or Donalds Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
Kalshi traders give Byron Donalds a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | >99% | -19900 | — |
| Darline Graham | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Darline Graham's margin in the South Carolina U.S. Senate election minus Byron Donalds's margin in the Florida gubernatorial election is at least 0 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Byron Donalds at >99%, about -19900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Larger margin: Graham or Donalds?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.