Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced Odds · Before Jan 31, 2028
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 10% | +942 | ▲ 4 |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 22% | +355 | — |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | 35% | +186 | — |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 56% | -127 | — |
| Before Jan 31, 2028 | 66% | -190 | — |
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Resolution rules
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.