Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win Odds · On Oct 27, 2026
This market has resolved: Above 17. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 17 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 20 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 23 ✓ | 99% | -9900 | — |
| Above 24 ✓ | 98% | -4900 | ▼ 1 |
| Above 26 ✓ | 98% | -4900 | ▲ 33 |
| Above 29 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 4 |
| Above 32 | 3% | +3233 | — |
| Above 35 | 3% | +3233 | ▲ 2 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Likud has won above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 27, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.