Israeli election results in a hung parliament Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 73% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | +264 | ▼ 6 |
| No | 73% | -264 | ▲ 7 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset. An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government. If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called. If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Israeli election results in a hung parliament"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 73%, about -264 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 27, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.