Iowa Governor: margin of victory Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
Kalshi traders give Rob Sand, 10-12% a 97% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Sand, 10-12% | 97% | -2757 | — |
| Rob Sand, 8-10% | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Rob Sand, 12-14% | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Zach Lahn, 0-2% | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Zach Lahn, ≥2% | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Rob Sand, 0-2% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rob Sand, 2-4% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rob Sand, 4-6% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rob Sand, 6-8% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Rob Sand, ≥14% | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Iowa Governor: margin of victory?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Rob Sand, 10-12% at 97%, about -2757 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Iowa Governor: margin of victory?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.