Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31 Odds
Polymarket traders give No a 97% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | +3409 | — |
| No | 97% | -3409 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Hu Jintao, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 97%, about -3409 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.