How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms Odds · from January 1 to November 3, 2026
This market has resolved: Above 20. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 20 ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 25 ✓ | 98% | -4900 | — |
| Above 30 ✓ | 91% | -1011 | — |
| Above 35 ✓ | 94% | -1567 | — |
| Above 40 ✓ | 95% | -1900 | — |
| Above 45 ✓ | 92% | -1150 | ▲ 5 |
| Above 50 | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
| Above 55 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 60 | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Above 65 | 1% | +9900 | — |
Resolution rules
If the number of Trump rallies is above 20 from January 1 to November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
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