How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026 Odds · in 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 25,000 | 92% | -1076 | — |
| Above 27,500 | 81% | -413 | — |
| Above 30,000 | 57% | -133 | — |
| Above 32,500 | 39% | +156 | — |
| Above 35,000 | 25% | +308 | — |
| Above 37,500 | 17% | +488 | — |
| Above 40,000 | 15% | +590 | — |
| Above 42,500 | 5% | +1900 | — |
| Above 45,000 | 4% | +2757 | — |
| Above 47,500 | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Above 50,000 | 3% | +3900 | — |
We may earn a commission if you sign up or trade through links to venues. It never changes the prices or rankings we show. 18+ (21+ where required). Only trade where prediction markets are legal for you. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER. How we make money
Price history
Resolution rules
If the number of lead and galvanized-previously-connected-to-lead (GPCL) service lines fully replaced statewide by Michigan community water supplies, as compiled and published by EGLE from the annual service line replacement reports required by Michigan's Lead and Copper Rule is above 25,000 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Sep 29, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.