Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” a 16% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” | 16% | +525 | — |
| FLING | 4% | +2432 | — |
| PT | 3% | +2841 | — |
| FREPASNA | 3% | +3471 | — |
| PS | <1% | +16567 | — |
| MUNDO-GB | <1% | +39900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” at 16%, about +525 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 24, 2025 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.