Guerrero Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Beatriz Mojica Morga a 75% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beatriz Mojica Morga | 75% | -295 | ▲ 7 |
| Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña | 21% | +387 | ▼ 3 |
| Manuel Añorve Baños | 7% | +1339 | ▼ 1 |
| Genaro Vázquez Flores | 5% | +1805 | — |
| Esthela Damián Peralta | 4% | +2717 | — |
| Gustavo Alarcón Herrera | 2% | +6567 | — |
| Mario Moreno Arcos | 1% | +8991 | — |
| Rubén Cayetano García | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Evodio Velázquez Aguirre | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Héctor Astudillo Flores | <1% | +10426 | — |
| Karen Castrejón Trujillo | <1% | +11011 | — |
| Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz | <1% | +18082 | — |
| Guadalupe Eguiluz | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Carlos Reyes Torres | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Javier Saldaña Almazán | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Rogelio Ortega Martínez | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Alberto López Rosas | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Abelina López Rodríguez | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Félix Salgado Macedonio | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Iván Hernández Díaz | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Alejandro Bravo Abarca | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Eloy Salmerón Díaz | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Yesenia Galarza Castro | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Julián López Galeana | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Erika Lorena Lührs | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Guerrero Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Beatriz Mojica Morga at 75%, about -295 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Guerrero Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.