Gambian presidential election winner Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give Adama Barrow a 77% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Barrow | 77% | -335 | ▼ 1 |
| Ousainou Darboe | 19% | +426 | — |
| Talib Bensouda | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Essa Faal | 3% | +3900 | — |
| Mama Kandeh | 3% | +3900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the winner of the next Gambian presidential election is Adama Barrow, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Gambian presidential election winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Adama Barrow at 77%, about -335 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 31, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Gambian presidential election winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.