Gambia Presidential Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Adama Barrow a 76% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Barrow | 76% | -317 | ▲ 5 |
| Ousainou Darboe | 22% | +365 | ▼ 1 |
| Bakary K. Badjie | 4% | +2400 | — |
| Talib Ahmed Bensouda | 1% | +9424 | — |
| Essa Faal | <1% | +14186 | ▼ 2 |
| Mohamed Al Amin Bah | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Mama Kandeh | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Gambia Presidential Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Adama Barrow at 76%, about -317 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Dec 5, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Gambia Presidential Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.