French Presidential Election First Round: # of Candidates on Ballot Odds
Polymarket traders give 8 a 37% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 37% | +170 | ▼ 1 |
| 9 | 31% | +223 | ▼ 10 |
| 13 or more | 30% | +233 | ▲ 3 |
| 10 | 28% | +251 | ▼ 7 |
| 11 | 20% | +413 | ▼ 19 |
| 12 | 16% | +545 | ▼ 3 |
| 7 | 8% | +1150 | ▼ 11 |
| 6 or fewer | 7% | +1438 | ▼ 7 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the number of candidates who actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "6 or fewer". Subsequent withdrawals, deaths, or disqualifications of candidates after the publication of the official candidate list will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in French Presidential Election First Round: # of Candidates on Ballot?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price 8 at 37%, about +170 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Apr 18, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on French Presidential Election First Round: # of Candidates on Ballot?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.