Florida Governor: margin of victory Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
Kalshi traders give Byron Donalds, 0-2% a 96% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds, 0-2% | 96% | -2122 | ▼ 1 |
| David Jolly, 0-2% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| David Jolly, 2-4% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| David Jolly, ≥4% | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, 2-4% | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, 4-6% | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, 6-8% | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, 8-10% | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, 10-12% | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, 12-14% | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, 14-16% | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Byron Donalds, ≥16% | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If the margin of victory for Byron Donalds in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Florida Governor: margin of victory?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Byron Donalds, 0-2% at 96%, about -2122 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 3, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Florida Governor: margin of victory?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.