Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026 Odds
This market has resolved: 65-89. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65-89 ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 75 |
| <40 | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
| 40-64 | 0% | — | ▼ 23 |
| 90-114 | 0% | — | ▼ 51 |
| 115-139 | 0% | — | ▼ 20 |
| 140-164 | 0% | — | ▼ 4 |
| 165-189 | 0% | — | ▼ 1 |
| 190-214 | 0% | — | — |
| 215-239 | 0% | — | — |
| 240+ | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 2 12:00 PM ET to November 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.