Core CPI YoY in December Odds · Dec 2026
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.1% | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Above 2.2% | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Above 2.3% | 98% | -3900 | — |
| Above 2.4% | 97% | -2757 | — |
| Above 2.5% | 94% | -1567 | ▲ 1 |
| Above 2.6% | 88% | -733 | — |
| Above 2.7% | 76% | -308 | — |
| Above 2.8% | 59% | -141 | — |
| Above 2.9% | 36% | +182 | — |
| Above 3.0% | 23% | +344 | — |
| Above 3.1% | 9% | +1011 | — |
| Above 3.2% | 9% | +1076 | — |
| Above 3.3% | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Above 3.4% | 6% | +1718 | — |
| Above 3.5% | 2% | +6567 | ▲ 1 |
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Resolution rules
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 13, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Core CPI YoY in December?
This market trades on Kalshi and a matching market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.