Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire Odds · On Nov 3, 2026
Kalshi traders give Michigan US Senate a >99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan US Senate | >99% | -19900 | — |
| New Hampshire US Senate | <1% | +19900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Michigan US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Michigan US Senate and New Hampshire US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Michigan US Senate at >99%, about -19900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 10, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.