Clarence Mayoral Election Winner Odds
This market has resolved: Drew Jenner. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Jenner ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 97 |
| Brendan Blomeley | 0% | — | ▼ 86 |
| Tony Mulder | 0% | — | ▼ 11 |
| Dean Young | 0% | — | ▼ 7 |
| James Walker | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate B | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate C | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate D | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate E | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate F | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate G | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate H | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate I | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate J | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate K | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate L | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate M | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate N | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate O | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate P | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate Q | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate R | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate S | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate T | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate U | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate V | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate W | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate X | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate Y | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate Z | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 28, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Clarence Mayoral Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.