Chihuahua Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Marco Bonilla Mendoza a 62% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Bonilla Mendoza | 62% | -163 | — |
| Cruz Pérez Cuéllar | 32% | +212 | ▼ 2 |
| Martín Chaparro Payán | 6% | +1686 | ▲ 1 |
| Andrea Chávez Treviño | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 1 |
| Rosana Díaz Reyes | <1% | +16567 | — |
| Luis Carlos Arrieta Lavenant | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Jesús Valenciano García | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Daniela Álvarez Hernández | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Alejandro Domínguez Domínguez | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Graciela Ortiz González | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Gilberto Loya Chávez | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Francisco Sánchez Villegas | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Mario Vázquez Robles | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Santiago de la Peña Grajeda | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Alfredo Lozoya Santillán | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Julián LeBarón | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Chihuahua Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Marco Bonilla Mendoza at 62%, about -163 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Chihuahua Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.