Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give José Maria Neves a 95% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Maria Neves | 95% | -1920 | — |
| Joana Rosa | 2% | +5961 | ▲ 1 |
| Janine Lélis | <1% | +28471 | — |
| Péricles Tavares | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Casimiro de Pina | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Milton Paiva | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Fernando Delgado | <1% | +66567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price José Maria Neves at 95%, about -1920 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 16, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.