California Lieutenant Governor winner Odds · in 2026

Q: How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

Q: When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 10, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Q: Where can I trade on California Lieutenant Governor winner?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.

This market has resolved: Fiona Ma. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $30.2K Ended Nov 10, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST

Outcome	Chance	Odds	24h
Fiona Ma ✓	>99%	-99900	▲ 3
Gloria Romero	<1%	+99900	▼ 6

Price history

Fiona MaGloria Romero

Resolution rules

If Fiona Ma wins the 2026 California Lieutenant Governor election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 10, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on California Lieutenant Governor winner?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.