California Insurance Commissioner winner Odds · In 2026
Kalshi traders give Jane Kim a 99% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jane Kim | 99% | -6567 | — |
| Ben Allen | 2% | +6567 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If Ben Allen wins the 2026 California Insurance Commissioner general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in California Insurance Commissioner winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Jane Kim at 99%, about -6567 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on California Insurance Commissioner winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.