CA-11 House winner? Odds · In 2026
This market has resolved: Scott Wiener. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wiener ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 1 |
| Connie Chan | 1% | +9900 | ▼ 1 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Scott Wiener wins the CA-11 House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Dec 1, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on CA-11 House winner??
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.