CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual) Odds
Polymarket traders give Doris Matsui a 98% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Doris Matsui | 98% | -4344 | — |
| Mai Vang | 2% | +4248 | ▲ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Doris Matsui at 98%, about -4344 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Nov 4, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.