AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 90% ▲ 36New Zealand general election winner: National 59% ▼ 34Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 93% ▲ 30Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Who will receive the second mandate to form … 52% ▲ 282026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 69% ▼ 272026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 28% ▲ 25Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch: … 97% ▲ 22Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 86% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 67% ▲ 19Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 41% ▼ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 45% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 21% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 29% ▲ 18ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 71% ▲ 17Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 90% ▲ 36New Zealand general election winner: National 59% ▼ 34Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 93% ▲ 30Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by… 26% ▼ 29Who will receive the second mandate to form … 52% ▲ 282026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 69% ▼ 272026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of … 28% ▲ 25Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch: … 97% ▲ 22Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 86% ▲ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: December 31, 2… 67% ▲ 19Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 41% ▼ 19Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 77% ▲ 19Next leader out of power before 2027: Netany… 45% ▲ 19Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 18Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 21% ▼ 18NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 29% ▲ 18ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 71% ▲ 17Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17

BTC 15 min · $75,833.51 target Odds · Nov 8 - 9:00AM EST to 9:15AM EST

This market has resolved: Target Price: $75,833.51. Final prices are below.

Kalshi Volume $2.3M Ended Nov 8, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Yes ✓
>99% -99900 ▲ 100
No
<1% +99900 ▼ 100

Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:15 AM EST on Nov 8, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 9:00 AM EST on November 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.

Where can I trade on BTC 15 min · $75,833.51 target?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.