AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15AZ-08 House winner? (2028): Republican party 91% ▲ 91AZ-09 House winner? (2028): Republican party 82% ▲ 82Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Syd… 9% ▼ 41Abu Dhabi T10 League: United Tigers vs Arabi… 9% ▼ 41Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (… 92% ▲ 39College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Ohio St. 14% ▼ 37Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Zimbabwe 3% ▼ 29Test Match: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe: Draw 77% ▲ 24Will Pete Hegseth be impeached: Before Apr 1… 83% ▲ 23Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Winner: Max Ver… 13% ▼ 23Pete Hegseth impeached by...: March 31, 2027 78% ▲ 20Jonathan Taylor Next Team: New York G 31% ▼ 20Next Israeli government # of seats: <58 72% ▲ 20NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: CJ… 32% ▲ 19Khamenei # posts November 3 - November 10, 2… 85% ▲ 18Heisman Trophy Winner: CJ Carr 34% ▲ 18What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Iran … 75% ▼ 17ATP Paris Winner: Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲ 17NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Je… 21% ▼ 17College Football Playoff Qualifiers: Texas 73% ▲ 17How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO: $6… 37% ▲ 17What will Trump say during 60 Minutes: Ukraine 69% ▼ 16Heisman Trophy Winner: Jeremiah Smith 23% ▼ 16Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/2 … 46% ▼ 15

BTC price on Nov 8, 2026 at 5pm EST Odds · On Nov 8, 2026 at 5pm EST

Kalshi Volume $278K 24h $278K Ends Nov 8, 2026 Updated Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
$65,500 or above
>99% -19900 —
$65,750 or above
>99% -19900 —
$66,000 or above
>99% -19900 —
$66,250 or above
>99% -19900 —
$66,500 or above
>99% -19900 —
$66,750 or above
>99% -19900 —
$67,000 or above
>99% -19900 —
$67,250 or above
99% -9900 —
$67,500 or above
99% -9900 —
$67,750 or above
99% -9900 —
$68,000 or above
99% -9900 —
$68,250 or above
99% -9900 —
$68,500 or above
99% -9900 —
$68,750 or above
99% -9900 —
$69,000 or above
99% -9900 —
$69,250 or above
99% -9900 —
$69,500 or above
99% -9900 —
$69,750 or above
99% -9900 —
$70,000 or above
99% -9900 —
$70,250 or above
99% -9900 —
$70,500 or above
99% -9900 —
$70,750 or above
99% -9900 —
$71,000 or above
99% -9900 —
$71,250 or above
99% -9900 —
$71,500 or above
99% -9900 —
$71,750 or above
99% -9900 —
$72,000 or above
99% -9900 —
$72,250 or above
99% -6567 —
$72,500 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
$72,750 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 99
$73,000 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 98
$73,250 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 98
$73,500 or above
>99% -19900 ▲ 98
$73,750 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 98
$74,000 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 98
$74,250 or above
99% -9900 ▲ 99
$74,500 or above
98% -3900 ▲ 97
$74,750 or above
95% -1718 ▲ 95
$75,000 or above
92% -1076 ▲ 91
$75,250 or above
85% -545 ▲ 84

Showing the top 40 of 80 outcomes.

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Resolution rules

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EST is above 65499.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Kalshi lists Nov 8, 2026 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on BTC price on Nov 8, 2026 at 5pm EST?

This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.