Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent Odds · Vote Percent - Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
This market has resolved: At least 44%. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 29 |
| At least 45% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 3 |
| At least 46% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 8 |
| At least 47% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 14 |
| At least 47.5% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 26 |
| At least 48% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 43 |
| At least 49% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 65 |
| At least 50% ✓ | 99% | -9900 | ▲ 81 |
| At least 51% ✓ | 96% | -2400 | ▲ 90 |
| At least 52% | 4% | +2400 | ▼ 15 |
Price history
Resolution rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Nov 25, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.