Brazil Presidential election winner Odds · In The next presidential election
This market has resolved: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva ✓ | >99% | -24900 | ▲ 27 |
| Ciro Gomes | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Augusto Cury | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | <1% | +24900 | ▼ 29 |
| Eduardo Bolsonaro | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Ratinho Júnior | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Romeu Zema | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Aldo Rebelo | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Jair Bolsonaro | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Fernando Haddad | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Tarcísio de Freitas | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Michelle Bolsonaro | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Renan Santos | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Ronaldo Caiado | <1% | +99900 | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Oct 25, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Brazil Presidential election winner?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.