Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá Odds
This market has resolved: Lula. Final prices are below.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lula ✓ | 100% | — | ▲ 70 |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 0% | — | ▼ 67 |
| Candidate A | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate B | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate C | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate D | 0% | — | — |
| Candidate E | 0% | — | — |
| Other | 0% | — | — |
Price history
Resolution rules
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amapá, Brazil on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Amapá. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amapá. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Oct 26, 2026 as the end date; this market has closed.
Where can I trade on Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.