Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win Odds · ME, MI, NH, AK, OH
Kalshi traders give Democratic sweep a 95% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic sweep | 95% | -1900 | ▼ 5 |
| Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio | 5% | +2122 | ▼ 8 |
| Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio | 2% | +4900 | — |
| Republican sweep | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Alaska, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| New Hampshire | 1% | +9900 | — |
| New Hampshire, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| New Hampshire, Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
| New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan, Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan, Alaska, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan, New Hampshire | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Alaska, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, New Hampshire | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, New Hampshire, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Michigan | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Michigan, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Michigan, Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Michigan, Alaska, Ohio | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire | 1% | +9900 | — |
| Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska | 1% | +9900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
If a candidate other than a Democrat in Maine's U.S. Senate election, a candidate other than a Democrat in Michigan's U.S. Senate election, a candidate other than a Democrat in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election, a candidate other than a Democrat in Alaska's U.S. Senate election, and a candidate other than a Democrat in Ohio's U.S. Senate special election win their respective November 3, 2026 elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: Kalshi. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Kalshi price Democratic sweep at 95%, about -1900 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Kalshi lists Jan 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Battleground Senate Combo: which states will Democrats win?
This market trades on Kalshi. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.