Baja California Governor Election Winner Odds
Polymarket traders give Julieta Ramírez Padilla a 64% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julieta Ramírez Padilla | 64% | -181 | ▲ 1 |
| Ismael Burgueño Ruiz | 10% | +890 | ▼ 1 |
| Evangelina Moreno Guerra | 2% | +4778 | — |
| Gustavo Macalpin | 1% | +8596 | ▼ 1 |
| Gina Cruz Blackledge | <1% | +19900 | — |
| Montserrat Caballero Ramírez | <1% | +24900 | — |
| Gustavo de Hoyos Walther | <1% | +39900 | — |
| Víctor Galicia | <1% | +49900 | — |
| Armando Ayala Robles | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Jorge Ramos Hernández | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Ana Daniela García Salgado | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Daylín García Ruvalcaba | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Juan Carlos Hank | <1% | +66567 | — |
| Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Héctor Osuna Jaime | <1% | +99900 | — |
| Fernando Castro Trenti | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Karla Ruiz Macfarland | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Baja California Governor Election Winner?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Julieta Ramírez Padilla at 64%, about -181 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jun 7, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Baja California Governor Election Winner?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.