Highest grossing movie in 2026 Odds
Polymarket traders give Spider-Man: Brand New Day a 89% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 89% | -770 | ▼ 3 |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 12% | +751 | ▲ 3 |
| Wicked: For Good | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Wuthering Heights | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Scream 7 | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Michael | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Toy Story 5 | <1% | +199900 | — |
| The Odyssey | <1% | +199900 | — |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Dune: Messiah | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | +199900 | — |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | <1% | +199900 | — |
| Jumanji 3 | <1% | +199900 | — |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
Who is favored in Highest grossing movie in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 89%, about -770 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jan 8, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Highest grossing movie in 2026?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.