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Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime Odds

Polymarket traders give No a 73% chance.

Polymarket Volume $452K 24h $188 Liquidity $44.9K Ends Feb 1, 2027 Updated Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST
OutcomeChanceOdds24h
Yes
28% +264 —
No
73% -264 —

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Price history

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Oct 16 Oct 17
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

Resolution rules

In a civil complaint filed in September 2026, a Cornell University student alleged that she was drugged and sexually assaulted in October 2024 by multiple members of the Chi Phi fraternity at the fraternity's house in Ithaca, New York. Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris and Scott Kretzschmar are the 7 individual defendants alleged in the September 2026 civil complaint to have participated in the alleged October 2024 sexual assault. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Matthew Ingalls, Johnathan Newell, Winston Lee, Gillio Lopes, Diego Sarabia, Scott Norris or Scott Kretzschmar with a felony sex crime between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A felony sex crime refers to any offense classified as a felony and as a sex offense under the law of the charging jurisdiction, including any felony sex offense defined in Article 130 of the New York Penal Law. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.

FAQ

What are the odds of "Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime"?

As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price No at 73%, about -264 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.

How are prediction market odds calculated?

Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.

When does this market close?

Polymarket lists Feb 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.

Where can I trade on Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.