Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027 Odds
Polymarket traders give “Yes” a 69% chance.
| Outcome | Chance | Odds | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69% | -217 | ▼ 0 |
| No | 31% | +217 | ▲ 1 |
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Price history
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
Source: Polymarket. The venue's rules are final.
FAQ
What are the odds of "Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027"?
As of Nov 8, 7:30 AM EST, traders on Polymarket price Yes at 69%, about -217 in American odds. Prices move with every trade.
How are prediction market odds calculated?
Each contract pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't, so its price is the market's implied probability: a 60¢ contract means roughly a 60% chance. We show the last trade, or the midpoint between the best bid and ask when the order book is tight.
When does this market close?
Polymarket lists Jul 1, 2027 as the end date. It can close earlier if the outcome is decided.
Where can I trade on Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
This market trades on Polymarket. Availability depends on where you live: Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated US exchange, while Polymarket's international site isn't available to US users (Polymarket US is a separate app). You must be 18 or older.